Mesothelioma:Written question - HL5853

Asked by Lord Wigley
Asked on: 18 March 2015
Department for Work and Pensions
To ask Her Majesty’s Government what is their latest estimate of the expected deaths from mesothelioma over the next 25 years.
Answered by: Lord Freud
Answered on: 24 March 2015

Based on the latest projections of annual mesothelioma deaths by the Health and Safety Executive, the best estimate is that there will be around 53,000 mesothelioma deaths in Great Britain over the 25-year period 2013-2037.

The statistical model used suggests an uncertainty range of 49,000 to 58,000 deaths on that estimate. However, the true uncertainty range may be wider as longer-range predictions are reliant on assumptions about asbestos exposures that cannot currently be fully validated.

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