Based on the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) published policy costings, we estimate the cumulative loss to the Exchequer from the successive alcohol duty freezes and cuts from financial year 2013-14 to the current financial year 2018-19 to be around £4.0bn. This is equal to the yearly cost of employing over 100,000 teachers.
The annual impacts on the Exchequer are reported in the table below.
These past decisions will also incur future losses to the Exchequer in years beyond 2018-19. The OBR’s costings of previously announced policies currently extend to 2022-23, and the future impact of these announced freezes and cuts in the alcohol duties to that year is estimated to be around £4.4bn.
The future annual impacts are set out in the table below.
The OBR’s policy costings are available at the following link: